Conf = Coast to Coast State = MD
Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim NestorGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.6952667 home-field advantage = -0.42 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Stevenson MAC Commonwea (11- 6, 88.1) 20- 7 217 A Catholic Landmark (11- 6, 90.8) 14- 1 225 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (15- 3, 96.5) 14-11 302 A Washington College Centennial (11- 6, 89.7) 19- 5 310 H Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 2, 97.7) 7-13 313 H Gettysburg Centennial (15- 2, 96.5) 16- 7 316 H Roanoke Old Dominion (14- 3, 92.5) 16- 4 318 N William Smith Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 94.2) 7-10 323 A Chicago CCIW (11- 4, 90.3) 19-11 327 A Messiah MAC Commonwea ( 8- 9, 88.5) 15- 4 330 H York MAC Commonwea (11- 6, 93.8) 9- 6 407 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (15- 3, 95.9) 15-16 413 A TCNJ NJAC (12- 4, 92.6) 10- 9 417 H St Marys (MD) UnitedEast ( 9- 6, 89.4) 15- 7 424 A Mary Washington Coast to Coas ( 5-12, 87.9) 19- 9 427 H Christopher Newport Coast to Coas (12- 5, 92.5) 18-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Stevenson 20- 7 13 8 0.00 217 A Catholic 14- 1 13 5 1.53 225 H Washington & Lee 14-11 3 0 + 2.33 302 A Washington College 19- 5 14 6 0.38 310 H Wesleyan 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.37 313 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 0 +++ 6.42 316 H Roanoke 16- 4 12 4 + 2.38 318 N William Smith 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.53 323 A Chicago 19-11 8 5 1.04 327 A Messiah 15- 4 11 7 0.00 330 H York 9- 6 3 3 -0.37 407 H Franklin & Marshall 15-16 -1 1 - -2.26 413 A TCNJ 10- 9 1 3 - -2.72 417 H St Marys (MD) 15- 7 8 7 0.00 424 A Mary Washington 19- 9 10 8 0.00 427 H Christopher Newport 18-11 7 4 + 2.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Wesleyan 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.37 318 N William Smith 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.53 407 H Franklin & Marshall 15-16 -1 1 - -2.26 413 A TCNJ 10- 9 1 3 - -2.72OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 0 +++ 6.42 225 H Washington & Lee 14-11 3 0 + 2.33 316 H Roanoke 16- 4 12 4 + 2.38 427 H Christopher Newport 18-11 7 4 + 2.33
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.70 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.02 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7663 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .7291 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 10.5 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 6 Selection Rank ............ 1 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 3 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.3